Overview / Cognitive Aristocracy Tracker

Cognitive Aristocracy Tracker

Is AI brainpower spread out, or piling up with a few? This tracker shows how evenly it's shared across the world's people, and where it's heading.How concentrated is access to cognitive infrastructure, and is it diverging? This tracker measures the distribution of cognitive capital across the world's people and projects concentration under alternative futures.Quantifies the cross-country distribution of cognitive capital across the world's population, population-weighted Gini (CII), Theil index, Lorenz curve, and top/bottom separation (CSI), and projects concentration under the scenario set.

CII · Gini

0.228

cognitive inequality

Theil index

0.091

entropy measure

Top 10% ÷ Bottom 50%

2.4×

separation ratio

Top 1% ÷ Bottom 50%

2.6×

elite separation

Lorenz curve of cognitive capital

Cumulative share of cognitive infrastructure vs cumulative share of people. The bowed gap from the diagonal is the inequality.

Concentration under scenarios · 2040

Projected inequality of the CC distribution across people, by scenario.

Scenario	Gini 2040	Top10÷Bot50
Democratization	0.117	1.6×
Baseline	0.194	2.1×
Elite Divergence	0.254	2.7×
AGI Emergence	0.259	2.8×

Today: Gini 0.228 · 2.4×

The five cognitive classes

A framework (from the underlying research) for how cognitive stratification could crystallize. These are conceptual strata, not measured population counts.

<0.01%

Class I · Intelligence Owners

Own or control frontier intelligence infrastructure; create intelligence and set its terms.

1-5%

Class II · Intelligence Amplified

Continuous access to advanced AI, persistent memory, and autonomous agents integrated into daily work.

40-60%

Class III · Intelligence Consumers

Use mainstream AI tools; benefit broadly but with limited customization or ownership.

large

Class IV · Intelligence Dependents

Heavy reliance on AI with eroding independent capability and cognitive resilience.

variable

Class V · Intelligence Excluded

Minimal access to advanced systems; compounding economic and educational disadvantage.

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The aristocracy framing describes a risk the platform exists to monitor and help avert, not an endorsement or a prediction. Projections are scenarios.