Indonesia
Falling behindAsia-PacificLower-middle income
Power #26 / 50Per-capita #45
Cognitive Power
34.6
of 100 · #26
CPI
34.6
CC
29.3
ADI
44.3
CDI
0.266
AIR
28.7
AIX
23.8
CRI
23.5
CM
23.2
CV
2.9%
Primary · absolute lens
Cognitive Power
34.6 · #26/50
Total national capacity, AI capital, compute, models & robotics. Strongest in agentic deployment (scale), economic mass, researchers (total).
Per-capita lens
Cognitive Coefficient
29.3 · #45/50
How deep infrastructure runs per person, rewards intensity, like GDP-per-capita or the HDI.
Agentic Deployment Index, the army of agents
Indonesia's agentic capacity
44.3
ADI · #43/50
How many capable, autonomous agents this society can field, how intelligent they are, and what they are permitted to do, across citizens, business and government. An automated army of agentic problem-solvers may be the single clearest near-term lever of cognitive advantage.
Agent capability (intelligence)56.0
Access, citizens40.0
Autonomy & reach (what agents can do)48.0
Business deployment32.0
Government deployment40.0
CC projection to 2040, Baseline
All 8 scenarios →Monte-Carlo band (P10-P90) around the median path. Dashed = illustrative historical reconstruction.
Median (P50)P10-P90 bandReconstruction
Pillar profile
Country report · generated from Indonesia's indices & economy
Indonesia, cognitive standing in full
Indonesia is the world's #17 economy by GDP ($1,446bn) and ranks #26/50 on absolute Cognitive Power and #45/50 on per-capita intensity. No index ranks as a clear strength across the headline indices; its trajectory is Falling behind, growing more slowly than the frontier. The binding concern is cognitive development index.
Economic & scale context
The economic base AI capacity is built on, and how its scale interacts with the cognitive indices.
GDP (total)
$1,446bn
#17 of 50
GDP / capita
$17,660
Lower-middle income · PPP
Population
286M
AI investment
$0.6bn
#32 globally
R&D intensity
0.28%
of GDP
Index-by-index read
For each index: what it means when high (the value) versus low (the risk), and Indonesia's own standing.
| Index | Value | Standing | What a high vs low value means, and where Indonesia sits |
|---|---|---|---|
| CPI Cognitive Power Index | 34.6 | Moderate · #26/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow; low would mean limited absolute weight: a price-taker that depends on capacity built elsewhere. ▲ high: great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow · ▼ low: limited absolute weight: a price-taker that depends on capacity built elsewhere |
| CC Cognitive Coefficient | 29.3 | Lagging · #45/50 | Low here, thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped. ▲ high: deep capability per person: broad productivity gains and a well-equipped workforce · ▼ low: thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped |
| ADI Agentic Deployment Index | 44.3 | Developing · #43/50 | Low here, agents are under-deployed, the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table. ▲ high: an automated-agent workforce multiplier is already in place across society · ▼ low: agents are under-deployed, the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table |
| CDI Cognitive Development Index | 0.266 | Lagging · #46/50 | Low here, imbalance or underdevelopment, at least one dimension is a binding weakness. ▲ high: broad, balanced development with no single dimension dragging it down · ▼ low: imbalance or underdevelopment, at least one dimension is a binding weakness |
| AIR AI Readiness | 28.7 | Developing · #42/50 | Low here, governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used. ▲ high: institutions and infrastructure are ready to convert capability into real deployment · ▼ low: governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used |
| AIX Augmentation Index | 23.8 | Lagging · #45/50 | Low here, access without adoption, the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised. ▲ high: AI is actively in use across the workforce, so capability is being turned into value · ▼ low: access without adoption, the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised |
| CRI Cognitive Resilience Index | 23.5 | Lagging · #45/50 | Low here, dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control, a strategic vulnerability. ▲ high: strategic autonomy: a broad home-grown base that is hard to cut off or coerce · ▼ low: dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control, a strategic vulnerability |
| CM Cognitive Momentum | 23.2 | Developing · #44/50 | Low here, a weak pipeline, the current position may stall or erode without new investment. ▲ high: investment and pipeline favour sustained improvement, today's position is likely to compound · ▼ low: a weak pipeline, the current position may stall or erode without new investment |
| CV Cognitive Velocity | 2.9% | Developing · #44/50 | Low here, slow improvement, at risk of drifting backwards in relative terms as the frontier advances. ▲ high: improving quickly relative to a moving frontier · ▼ low: slow improvement, at risk of drifting backwards in relative terms as the frontier advances |
Trajectory & growth potential
Trajectory & growth potential
Falling behindIndonesia's trajectory is Falling behind, growing more slowly than the frontier. Risk: the relative gap is widening, a compounding disadvantage that can pull capital and talent toward leaders and deepen dependency. The clearest call to act.
Momentum (CM): 23.2 #44/50
Velocity (CV): 2.9% #44/50
Closing the gap: -2.62 pts/yr vs the frontier
Projected CC by 2040: 43.9 (now 29.3, P50 · scenario not forecast)
Strengths to build on
- No standout strengths across the headline indices yet.
Risk factors
- Dependency / low resilience, CRI 23.5 (#45/50): dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control, a strategic vulnerability.
- Relative trajectory, Falling behind: Risk: the relative gap is widening, a compounding disadvantage that can pull capital and talent toward leaders and deepen dependency. The clearest call to act.
- Binding weakness, Cognitive Development Index 0.266 (#46/50, Lagging): imbalance or underdevelopment, at least one dimension is a binding weakness.
Recommended priorities
- Prioritise the weakest pillar (AI Adoption) to lift the geometric-mean development index (CDI).
- Convert access into utilization: workforce AI-skilling and agentic-workflow adoption.
- Broaden the base (education + data governance) to raise resilience and reduce concentration risk.
▲
These are model outputs and scenarios, not forecasts of actual outcomes. This platform measures access to, utilization of, and leverage from cognitive infrastructure, not intelligence. No causality or certainty is claimed.
Pillars
AI Access37.1
AI Adoption19.2
Compute21.6
Data32.2
Education32.4
Digital Literacy37.5
Innovation19.4
Knowledge Infrastructure21.5
Agentic Deployment42.7
Nearest peers
- Egypt27.1
- Colombia31.5
- South Africa31.6
- Philippines26.8
- Mexico35.1
Provenance & what changed · 39 indicator cells · year, source, measured vs estimated
Rank movement
- no rank movement since the previous snapshot
Applied research changes
- no applied research changes name this economy in the window
| Indicator | Value | Year | Source | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| agent_access_pct | 40.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| agent_autonomy_idx | 48.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| agent_capability_idx | 56.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| ai_capital_b | 6.0 | 2024 | Stanford AI Index / state & infra capex (curated) | estimated |
| ai_index_score | 24 | 2024 | Tortoise Global AI Index 2024 | estimated |
| ai_private_investment_b | 0.6 | 2024 | Stanford AI Index 2025 (cumulative) | estimated |
| ai_pubs_share | 0.6 | 2023 | OECD / Elsevier | estimated |
| ai_regulation_idx | 48 | 2024 | curated | estimated |
| ai_skill_penetration | 44 | 2024 | LinkedIn/Stanford AI Index 2025 | estimated |
| ai_strategy_year | 2020 | 2020 | OECD AI Policy Observatory | measured |
| ai_talent_idx | 34 | 2024 | Tortoise Global AI Index 2024 | estimated |
| cloud_regions | 3 | 2024 | AWS/Azure/GCP region maps 2024 | measured |
| data_governance_idx | 55 | 2024 | curated | estimated |
| datacenter_mw | 500 | 2024 | curated estimate | estimated |
| digital_skills_idx | 44 | 2024 | WEF / ITU-style composite | estimated |
| enterprise_agent_adoption | 32.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| fixed_broadband_per100 | 5 | 2023 | ITU 2023 | estimated |
| gdp_pc_ppp | 17660.0 | 2025 | World Bank WDI (PPP) | measured |
| gdp_total_b | 1445.6 | 2025 | World Bank WDI | measured |
| gii_score | 30.6 | 2024 | WIPO Global Innovation Index 2024 | measured |
| gov_agent_adoption | 40.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| gov_ai_readiness | 60 | 2024 | Oxford Insights Gov AI Readiness 2024 | measured |
| human_capital_index | 0.54 | 2020 | World Bank HCI 2020 | measured |
| internet_pct | 69 | 2023 | ITU 2023 | estimated |
| mean_years_schooling | 8.6 | 2022 | UNDP HDR 2023/24 | measured |
| mobile_broadband_per100 | 95 | 2023 | ITU 2023 | estimated |
| notable_models | 0 | 2024 | Stanford AI Index 2025 | estimated |
| patents_per_million | 8 | 2023 | WIPO | estimated |
| population_m | 285.7 | 2025 | World Bank WDI | measured |
| rd_gdp_pct | 0.28 | 2020 | UNESCO UIS | estimated |
| researchers_per_million | 270 | 2019 | UNESCO UIS | estimated |
| robot_density | 30.0 | 2024 | IFR World Robotics | estimated |
| robot_installs_k | 2.0 | 2024 | IFR World Robotics | estimated |
| robot_stock_k | 12.0 | 2024 | IFR World Robotics | estimated |
| sci_pubs_per_million | 90 | 2022 | World Bank WDI | estimated |
| semiconductor_idx | 18 | 2024 | curated estimate | estimated |
| stem_grads_share | 20 | 2020 | World Bank/BPS | estimated |
| tertiary_enrollment_pct | 39 | 2021 | UNESCO UIS | measured |
| top500_systems | 0 | 2024 | Top500 2024 | estimated |