Brazil
Falling behindLatin AmericaUpper-middle income
Power #15 / 50Per-capita #35
Cognitive Power
40.4
of 100 · #15
CPI
40.4
CC
41.1
ADI
50.0
CDI
0.388
AIR
40.1
AIX
37.3
CRI
33.1
CM
32.6
CV
3.1%
Primary · absolute lens
Cognitive Power
40.4 · #15/50
Total national capacity, AI capital, compute, models & robotics. Strongest in agentic deployment (scale), economic mass, researchers (total).
Per-capita lens
Cognitive Coefficient
41.1 · #35/50
How deep infrastructure runs per person, rewards intensity, like GDP-per-capita or the HDI.
Agentic Deployment Index, the army of agents
Brazil's agentic capacity
50.0
ADI · #34/50
How many capable, autonomous agents this society can field, how intelligent they are, and what they are permitted to do, across citizens, business and government. An automated army of agentic problem-solvers may be the single clearest near-term lever of cognitive advantage.
Agent capability (intelligence)62.0
Access, citizens46.0
Autonomy & reach (what agents can do)54.0
Business deployment38.0
Government deployment44.0
CC projection to 2040, Baseline
All 8 scenarios →Monte-Carlo band (P10-P90) around the median path. Dashed = illustrative historical reconstruction.
Median (P50)P10-P90 bandReconstruction
Pillar profile
Country report · generated from Brazil's indices & economy
Brazil, cognitive standing in full
Brazil is the world's #11 economy by GDP ($2,280bn) and ranks #15/50 on absolute Cognitive Power and #35/50 on per-capita intensity. Its standout strength is Cognitive Power Index (40.4, Strong); its trajectory is Falling behind, growing more slowly than the frontier. The binding concern is cognitive resilience index.
Economic & scale context
The economic base AI capacity is built on, and how its scale interacts with the cognitive indices.
GDP (total)
$2,280bn
#11 of 50
GDP / capita
$23,433
Upper-middle income · PPP
Population
213M
AI investment
$2.0bn
#19 globally
R&D intensity
1.15%
of GDP
Index-by-index read
For each index: what it means when high (the value) versus low (the risk), and Brazil's own standing.
| Index | Value | Standing | What a high vs low value means, and where Brazil sits |
|---|---|---|---|
| CPI Cognitive Power Index | 40.4 | Strong · #15/50 | High here, great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow. ▲ high: great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow · ▼ low: limited absolute weight: a price-taker that depends on capacity built elsewhere |
| CC Cognitive Coefficient | 41.1 | Developing · #35/50 | Low here, thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped. ▲ high: deep capability per person: broad productivity gains and a well-equipped workforce · ▼ low: thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped |
| ADI Agentic Deployment Index | 50.0 | Developing · #34/50 | Low here, agents are under-deployed, the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table. ▲ high: an automated-agent workforce multiplier is already in place across society · ▼ low: agents are under-deployed, the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table |
| CDI Cognitive Development Index | 0.388 | Developing · #36/50 | Low here, imbalance or underdevelopment, at least one dimension is a binding weakness. ▲ high: broad, balanced development with no single dimension dragging it down · ▼ low: imbalance or underdevelopment, at least one dimension is a binding weakness |
| AIR AI Readiness | 40.1 | Moderate · #32/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean institutions and infrastructure are ready to convert capability into real deployment; low would mean governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used. ▲ high: institutions and infrastructure are ready to convert capability into real deployment · ▼ low: governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used |
| AIX Augmentation Index | 37.3 | Moderate · #29/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean AI is actively in use across the workforce, so capability is being turned into value; low would mean access without adoption, the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised. ▲ high: AI is actively in use across the workforce, so capability is being turned into value · ▼ low: access without adoption, the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised |
| CRI Cognitive Resilience Index | 33.1 | Developing · #38/50 | Low here, dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control, a strategic vulnerability. ▲ high: strategic autonomy: a broad home-grown base that is hard to cut off or coerce · ▼ low: dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control, a strategic vulnerability |
| CM Cognitive Momentum | 32.6 | Developing · #34/50 | Low here, a weak pipeline, the current position may stall or erode without new investment. ▲ high: investment and pipeline favour sustained improvement, today's position is likely to compound · ▼ low: a weak pipeline, the current position may stall or erode without new investment |
| CV Cognitive Velocity | 3.1% | Moderate · #32/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean improving quickly relative to a moving frontier; low would mean slow improvement, at risk of drifting backwards in relative terms as the frontier advances. ▲ high: improving quickly relative to a moving frontier · ▼ low: slow improvement, at risk of drifting backwards in relative terms as the frontier advances |
Trajectory & growth potential
Trajectory & growth potential
Falling behindBrazil's trajectory is Falling behind, growing more slowly than the frontier. Risk: the relative gap is widening, a compounding disadvantage that can pull capital and talent toward leaders and deepen dependency. The clearest call to act.
Momentum (CM): 32.6 #34/50
Velocity (CV): 3.1% #32/50
Closing the gap: -2.17 pts/yr vs the frontier
Projected CC by 2040: 57.2 (now 41.1, P50 · scenario not forecast)
Strengths to build on
- Cognitive Power Index (40.4, Strong), great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow.
Risk factors
- Dependency / low resilience, CRI 33.1 (#38/50): dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control, a strategic vulnerability.
- Relative trajectory, Falling behind: Risk: the relative gap is widening, a compounding disadvantage that can pull capital and talent toward leaders and deepen dependency. The clearest call to act.
- Binding weakness, Cognitive Resilience Index 33.1 (#38/50, Developing): dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control, a strategic vulnerability.
Recommended priorities
- Prioritise the weakest pillar (AI Adoption) to lift the geometric-mean development index (CDI).
- Convert access into utilization: workforce AI-skilling and agentic-workflow adoption.
- Broaden the base (education + data governance) to raise resilience and reduce concentration risk.
▲
These are model outputs and scenarios, not forecasts of actual outcomes. This platform measures access to, utilization of, and leverage from cognitive infrastructure, not intelligence. No causality or certainty is claimed.
Provenance & what changed · 39 indicator cells · year, source, measured vs estimated
Rank movement
- no rank movement since the previous snapshot
Applied research changes
- no applied research changes name this economy in the window
| Indicator | Value | Year | Source | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| agent_access_pct | 46.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| agent_autonomy_idx | 54.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| agent_capability_idx | 62.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| ai_capital_b | 7.0 | 2024 | Stanford AI Index / state & infra capex (curated) | estimated |
| ai_index_score | 33 | 2024 | Tortoise Global AI Index 2024 | measured |
| ai_private_investment_b | 2 | 2024 | Stanford AI Index 2025 (cumulative) | estimated |
| ai_pubs_share | 1.6 | 2023 | OECD / Elsevier | estimated |
| ai_regulation_idx | 58 | 2024 | curated | estimated |
| ai_skill_penetration | 58 | 2024 | LinkedIn/Stanford AI Index 2025 | estimated |
| ai_strategy_year | 2021 | 2021 | OECD AI Policy Observatory | measured |
| ai_talent_idx | 42 | 2024 | Tortoise Global AI Index 2024 | estimated |
| cloud_regions | 4 | 2024 | AWS/Azure/GCP region maps 2024 | measured |
| data_governance_idx | 68 | 2024 | LGPD/curated | estimated |
| datacenter_mw | 600 | 2024 | curated estimate | estimated |
| digital_skills_idx | 52 | 2024 | WEF / ITU-style composite | estimated |
| enterprise_agent_adoption | 38.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| fixed_broadband_per100 | 22 | 2023 | ITU 2023 | measured |
| gdp_pc_ppp | 23433.0 | 2025 | World Bank WDI (PPP) | measured |
| gdp_total_b | 2279.9 | 2025 | World Bank WDI | measured |
| gii_score | 35.4 | 2024 | WIPO Global Innovation Index 2024 | measured |
| gov_agent_adoption | 44.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| gov_ai_readiness | 64 | 2024 | Oxford Insights Gov AI Readiness 2024 | measured |
| human_capital_index | 0.55 | 2020 | World Bank HCI 2020 | measured |
| internet_pct | 84 | 2023 | ITU 2023 | measured |
| mean_years_schooling | 8.3 | 2022 | UNDP HDR 2023/24 | measured |
| mobile_broadband_per100 | 105 | 2023 | ITU 2023 | estimated |
| notable_models | 0 | 2024 | Stanford AI Index 2025 | estimated |
| patents_per_million | 25 | 2023 | WIPO | measured |
| population_m | 212.8 | 2025 | World Bank WDI | measured |
| rd_gdp_pct | 1.15 | 2020 | UNESCO UIS | measured |
| researchers_per_million | 890 | 2020 | UNESCO UIS | estimated |
| robot_density | 50.0 | 2024 | IFR World Robotics | estimated |
| robot_installs_k | 4.0 | 2024 | IFR World Robotics | estimated |
| robot_stock_k | 22.0 | 2024 | IFR World Robotics | estimated |
| sci_pubs_per_million | 320 | 2022 | World Bank WDI | estimated |
| semiconductor_idx | 22 | 2024 | curated estimate | estimated |
| stem_grads_share | 17 | 2020 | OECD/INEP | estimated |
| tertiary_enrollment_pct | 56 | 2020 | UNESCO UIS | measured |
| top500_systems | 2 | 2024 | Top500 2024 | estimated |