India
MaintainingAsia-PacificLower-middle income
Power #8 / 50Per-capita #37
Cognitive Power
55.2
of 100 · #8
CPI
55.2
CC
41.0
ADI
52.3
CDI
0.323
AIR
43.3
AIX
68.2
CRI
31.8
CM
45.6
CV
3.8%
Primary · absolute lens
Cognitive Power
55.2 · #8/50
Total national capacity, AI capital, compute, models & robotics. Strongest in agentic deployment (scale), research output (total), researchers (total).
Per-capita lens
Cognitive Coefficient
41.0 · #37/50
How deep infrastructure runs per person, rewards intensity, like GDP-per-capita or the HDI.
Agentic Deployment Index, the army of agents
India's agentic capacity
52.3
ADI · #32/50
How many capable, autonomous agents this society can field, how intelligent they are, and what they are permitted to do, across citizens, business and government. An automated army of agentic problem-solvers may be the single clearest near-term lever of cognitive advantage.
Agent capability (intelligence)64.0
Access, citizens48.0
Autonomy & reach (what agents can do)56.0
Business deployment42.0
Government deployment46.0
CC projection to 2040, Baseline
All 8 scenarios →Monte-Carlo band (P10-P90) around the median path. Dashed = illustrative historical reconstruction.
Median (P50)P10-P90 bandReconstruction
Pillar profile
Country report · generated from India's indices & economy
India, cognitive standing in full
India is the world's #6 economy by GDP ($3,956bn) and ranks #8/50 on absolute Cognitive Power and #37/50 on per-capita intensity. Its standout strength is Augmentation Index (68.2, Leading); its trajectory is Maintaining, holding position but not compounding an advantage. The binding concern is cognitive development index.
Economic & scale context
The economic base AI capacity is built on, and how its scale interacts with the cognitive indices.
GDP (total)
$3,956bn
#6 of 50
GDP / capita
$11,748
Lower-middle income · PPP
Population
1,464M
AI investment
$11.0bn
#7 globally
R&D intensity
0.64%
of GDP
Index-by-index read
For each index: what it means when high (the value) versus low (the risk), and India's own standing.
| Index | Value | Standing | What a high vs low value means, and where India sits |
|---|---|---|---|
| CPI Cognitive Power Index | 55.2 | Strong · #8/50 | High here, great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow. ▲ high: great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow · ▼ low: limited absolute weight: a price-taker that depends on capacity built elsewhere |
| CC Cognitive Coefficient | 41.0 | Developing · #37/50 | Low here, thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped. ▲ high: deep capability per person: broad productivity gains and a well-equipped workforce · ▼ low: thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped |
| ADI Agentic Deployment Index | 52.3 | Moderate · #32/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean an automated-agent workforce multiplier is already in place across society; low would mean agents are under-deployed, the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table. ▲ high: an automated-agent workforce multiplier is already in place across society · ▼ low: agents are under-deployed, the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table |
| CDI Cognitive Development Index | 0.323 | Developing · #41/50 | Low here, imbalance or underdevelopment, at least one dimension is a binding weakness. ▲ high: broad, balanced development with no single dimension dragging it down · ▼ low: imbalance or underdevelopment, at least one dimension is a binding weakness |
| AIR AI Readiness | 43.3 | Moderate · #29/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean institutions and infrastructure are ready to convert capability into real deployment; low would mean governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used. ▲ high: institutions and infrastructure are ready to convert capability into real deployment · ▼ low: governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used |
| AIX Augmentation Index | 68.2 | Leading · #2/50 | High here, AI is actively in use across the workforce, so capability is being turned into value. ▲ high: AI is actively in use across the workforce, so capability is being turned into value · ▼ low: access without adoption, the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised |
| CRI Cognitive Resilience Index | 31.8 | Developing · #40/50 | Low here, dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control, a strategic vulnerability. ▲ high: strategic autonomy: a broad home-grown base that is hard to cut off or coerce · ▼ low: dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control, a strategic vulnerability |
| CM Cognitive Momentum | 45.6 | Moderate · #22/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean investment and pipeline favour sustained improvement, today's position is likely to compound; low would mean a weak pipeline, the current position may stall or erode without new investment. ▲ high: investment and pipeline favour sustained improvement, today's position is likely to compound · ▼ low: a weak pipeline, the current position may stall or erode without new investment |
| CV Cognitive Velocity | 3.8% | Strong · #6/50 | High here, improving quickly relative to a moving frontier. ▲ high: improving quickly relative to a moving frontier · ▼ low: slow improvement, at risk of drifting backwards in relative terms as the frontier advances |
Trajectory & growth potential
Trajectory & growth potential
MaintainingIndia's trajectory is Maintaining, holding position but not compounding an advantage. Risk: the frontier keeps moving, so standing still means slow relative decline. A stable base, but it needs fresh momentum to avoid drifting back.
Momentum (CM): 45.6 #22/50
Velocity (CV): 3.8% #6/50
Closing the gap: -1.91 pts/yr vs the frontier
Projected CC by 2040: 59.4 (now 41.0, P50 · scenario not forecast)
Strengths to build on
- Augmentation Index (68.2, Leading), AI is actively in use across the workforce, so capability is being turned into value.
- Cognitive Velocity (3.8%, Strong), improving quickly relative to a moving frontier.
- Cognitive Power Index (55.2, Strong), great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow.
Risk factors
- Dependency / low resilience, CRI 31.8 (#40/50): dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control, a strategic vulnerability.
- Relative trajectory, Maintaining: Risk: the frontier keeps moving, so standing still means slow relative decline. A stable base, but it needs fresh momentum to avoid drifting back.
- Scale without depth, strong absolute power (CPI #8) but thinner per-capita intensity (CC #37): capacity is large in total but spread thin per person, often a large-population effect.
- Binding weakness, Cognitive Development Index 0.323 (#41/50, Developing): imbalance or underdevelopment, at least one dimension is a binding weakness.
Recommended priorities
- Prioritise the weakest pillar (AI Access) to lift the geometric-mean development index (CDI).
- Broaden the base (education + data governance) to raise resilience and reduce concentration risk.
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These are model outputs and scenarios, not forecasts of actual outcomes. This platform measures access to, utilization of, and leverage from cognitive infrastructure, not intelligence. No causality or certainty is claimed.