Russia
Falling behindEuropeUpper-middle income
Power #12 / 50Per-capita #32
Cognitive Power
45.5
of 100 · #12
CPI
45.5
CC
45.1
ADI
48.6
CDI
0.458
AIR
40.0
AIX
28.8
CRI
38.8
CM
32.1
CV
3.0%
Primary · absolute lens
Cognitive Power
45.5 · #12/50
Total national capacity, AI capital, compute, models & robotics. Strongest in researchers (total), economic mass, agentic deployment (scale).
Per-capita lens
Cognitive Coefficient
45.1 · #32/50
How deep infrastructure runs per person, rewards intensity, like GDP-per-capita or the HDI.
Agentic Deployment Index, the army of agents
Russia's agentic capacity
48.6
ADI · #37/50
How many capable, autonomous agents this society can field, how intelligent they are, and what they are permitted to do, across citizens, business and government. An automated army of agentic problem-solvers may be the single clearest near-term lever of cognitive advantage.
Agent capability (intelligence)62.0
Access, citizens44.0
Autonomy & reach (what agents can do)50.0
Business deployment36.0
Government deployment46.0
CC projection to 2040, Baseline
All 8 scenarios →Monte-Carlo band (P10-P90) around the median path. Dashed = illustrative historical reconstruction.
Median (P50)P10-P90 bandReconstruction
Pillar profile
Country report · generated from Russia's indices & economy
Russia, cognitive standing in full
Russia is the world's #8 economy by GDP ($2,561bn) and ranks #12/50 on absolute Cognitive Power and #32/50 on per-capita intensity. Its standout strength is Cognitive Power Index (45.5, Strong); its trajectory is Falling behind, growing more slowly than the frontier. The binding concern is augmentation index.
Economic & scale context
The economic base AI capacity is built on, and how its scale interacts with the cognitive indices.
GDP (total)
$2,561bn
#8 of 50
GDP / capita
$49,568
Upper-middle income · PPP
Population
144M
AI investment
$1.5bn
#21 globally
R&D intensity
0.94%
of GDP
Index-by-index read
For each index: what it means when high (the value) versus low (the risk), and Russia's own standing.
| Index | Value | Standing | What a high vs low value means, and where Russia sits |
|---|---|---|---|
| CPI Cognitive Power Index | 45.5 | Strong · #12/50 | High here, great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow. ▲ high: great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow · ▼ low: limited absolute weight: a price-taker that depends on capacity built elsewhere |
| CC Cognitive Coefficient | 45.1 | Moderate · #32/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean deep capability per person: broad productivity gains and a well-equipped workforce; low would mean thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped. ▲ high: deep capability per person: broad productivity gains and a well-equipped workforce · ▼ low: thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped |
| ADI Agentic Deployment Index | 48.6 | Developing · #37/50 | Low here, agents are under-deployed, the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table. ▲ high: an automated-agent workforce multiplier is already in place across society · ▼ low: agents are under-deployed, the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table |
| CDI Cognitive Development Index | 0.458 | Moderate · #31/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean broad, balanced development with no single dimension dragging it down; low would mean imbalance or underdevelopment, at least one dimension is a binding weakness. ▲ high: broad, balanced development with no single dimension dragging it down · ▼ low: imbalance or underdevelopment, at least one dimension is a binding weakness |
| AIR AI Readiness | 40.0 | Developing · #33/50 | Low here, governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used. ▲ high: institutions and infrastructure are ready to convert capability into real deployment · ▼ low: governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used |
| AIX Augmentation Index | 28.8 | Developing · #37/50 | Low here, access without adoption, the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised. ▲ high: AI is actively in use across the workforce, so capability is being turned into value · ▼ low: access without adoption, the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised |
| CRI Cognitive Resilience Index | 38.8 | Moderate · #31/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean strategic autonomy: a broad home-grown base that is hard to cut off or coerce; low would mean dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control, a strategic vulnerability. ▲ high: strategic autonomy: a broad home-grown base that is hard to cut off or coerce · ▼ low: dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control, a strategic vulnerability |
| CM Cognitive Momentum | 32.1 | Developing · #35/50 | Low here, a weak pipeline, the current position may stall or erode without new investment. ▲ high: investment and pipeline favour sustained improvement, today's position is likely to compound · ▼ low: a weak pipeline, the current position may stall or erode without new investment |
| CV Cognitive Velocity | 3.0% | Developing · #36/50 | Low here, slow improvement, at risk of drifting backwards in relative terms as the frontier advances. ▲ high: improving quickly relative to a moving frontier · ▼ low: slow improvement, at risk of drifting backwards in relative terms as the frontier advances |
Trajectory & growth potential
Trajectory & growth potential
Falling behindRussia's trajectory is Falling behind, growing more slowly than the frontier. Risk: the relative gap is widening, a compounding disadvantage that can pull capital and talent toward leaders and deepen dependency. The clearest call to act.
Momentum (CM): 32.1 #35/50
Velocity (CV): 3.0% #36/50
Closing the gap: -2.09 pts/yr vs the frontier
Projected CC by 2040: 61.5 (now 45.1, P50 · scenario not forecast)
Strengths to build on
- Cognitive Power Index (45.5, Strong), great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow.
Risk factors
- Relative trajectory, Falling behind: Risk: the relative gap is widening, a compounding disadvantage that can pull capital and talent toward leaders and deepen dependency. The clearest call to act.
- Scale without depth, strong absolute power (CPI #12) but thinner per-capita intensity (CC #32): capacity is large in total but spread thin per person, often a large-population effect.
- Affluent but under-utilizing, an upper-middle-income economy (GDP/cap $49,568 PPP) whose AI utilization (AIX 28.8) lags its means.
- Binding weakness, Augmentation Index 28.8 (#37/50, Developing): access without adoption, the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised.
Recommended priorities
- Prioritise the weakest pillar (AI Adoption) to lift the geometric-mean development index (CDI).
- Convert access into utilization: workforce AI-skilling and agentic-workflow adoption.
- Broaden the base (education + data governance) to raise resilience and reduce concentration risk.
▲
These are model outputs and scenarios, not forecasts of actual outcomes. This platform measures access to, utilization of, and leverage from cognitive infrastructure, not intelligence. No causality or certainty is claimed.