Sweden
MaintainingEuropeHigh income
Power #25 / 50Per-capita #9
Cognitive Power
34.7
of 100 · #25
CPI
34.7
CC
67.2
ADI
68.5
CDI
0.663
AIR
60.8
AIX
53.6
CRI
52.8
CM
56.1
CV
3.6%
Primary · absolute lens
Cognitive Power
34.7 · #25/50
Total national capacity, AI capital, compute, models & robotics. Strongest in semiconductor capability, researchers (total), economic mass.
Per-capita lens
Cognitive Coefficient
67.2 · #9/50
How deep infrastructure runs per person, rewards intensity, like GDP-per-capita or the HDI.
Agentic Deployment Index, the army of agents
Sweden's agentic capacity
68.5
ADI · #10/50
How many capable, autonomous agents this society can field, how intelligent they are, and what they are permitted to do, across citizens, business and government. An automated army of agentic problem-solvers may be the single clearest near-term lever of cognitive advantage.
Agent capability (intelligence)76.0
Access, citizens68.0
Autonomy & reach (what agents can do)73.0
Business deployment56.0
Government deployment64.0
CC projection to 2040, Baseline
All 8 scenarios →Monte-Carlo band (P10-P90) around the median path. Dashed = illustrative historical reconstruction.
Median (P50)P10-P90 bandReconstruction
Pillar profile
Country report · generated from Sweden's indices & economy
Sweden, cognitive standing in full
Sweden is the world's #26 economy by GDP ($669bn) and ranks #25/50 on absolute Cognitive Power and #9/50 on per-capita intensity. Its standout strength is Cognitive Development Index (0.663, Strong); its trajectory is Maintaining, holding position but not compounding an advantage. It carries no single binding weakness across the headline indices.
Economic & scale context
The economic base AI capacity is built on, and how its scale interacts with the cognitive indices.
GDP (total)
$669bn
#26 of 50
GDP / capita
$72,529
High income · PPP
Population
11M
AI investment
$2.5bn
#17 globally
R&D intensity
3.40%
of GDP
Index-by-index read
For each index: what it means when high (the value) versus low (the risk), and Sweden's own standing.
| Index | Value | Standing | What a high vs low value means, and where Sweden sits |
|---|---|---|---|
| CPI Cognitive Power Index | 34.7 | Moderate · #25/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow; low would mean limited absolute weight: a price-taker that depends on capacity built elsewhere. ▲ high: great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow · ▼ low: limited absolute weight: a price-taker that depends on capacity built elsewhere |
| CC Cognitive Coefficient | 67.2 | Strong · #9/50 | High here, deep capability per person: broad productivity gains and a well-equipped workforce. ▲ high: deep capability per person: broad productivity gains and a well-equipped workforce · ▼ low: thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped |
| ADI Agentic Deployment Index | 68.5 | Strong · #10/50 | High here, an automated-agent workforce multiplier is already in place across society. ▲ high: an automated-agent workforce multiplier is already in place across society · ▼ low: agents are under-deployed, the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table |
| CDI Cognitive Development Index | 0.663 | Strong · #8/50 | High here, broad, balanced development with no single dimension dragging it down. ▲ high: broad, balanced development with no single dimension dragging it down · ▼ low: imbalance or underdevelopment, at least one dimension is a binding weakness |
| AIR AI Readiness | 60.8 | Strong · #12/50 | High here, institutions and infrastructure are ready to convert capability into real deployment. ▲ high: institutions and infrastructure are ready to convert capability into real deployment · ▼ low: governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used |
| AIX Augmentation Index | 53.6 | Strong · #10/50 | High here, AI is actively in use across the workforce, so capability is being turned into value. ▲ high: AI is actively in use across the workforce, so capability is being turned into value · ▼ low: access without adoption, the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised |
| CRI Cognitive Resilience Index | 52.8 | Strong · #15/50 | High here, strategic autonomy: a broad home-grown base that is hard to cut off or coerce. ▲ high: strategic autonomy: a broad home-grown base that is hard to cut off or coerce · ▼ low: dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control, a strategic vulnerability |
| CM Cognitive Momentum | 56.1 | Strong · #9/50 | High here, investment and pipeline favour sustained improvement, today's position is likely to compound. ▲ high: investment and pipeline favour sustained improvement, today's position is likely to compound · ▼ low: a weak pipeline, the current position may stall or erode without new investment |
| CV Cognitive Velocity | 3.6% | Strong · #11/50 | High here, improving quickly relative to a moving frontier. ▲ high: improving quickly relative to a moving frontier · ▼ low: slow improvement, at risk of drifting backwards in relative terms as the frontier advances |
Trajectory & growth potential
Trajectory & growth potential
MaintainingSweden's trajectory is Maintaining, holding position but not compounding an advantage. Risk: the frontier keeps moving, so standing still means slow relative decline. A stable base, but it needs fresh momentum to avoid drifting back.
Momentum (CM): 56.1 #9/50
Velocity (CV): 3.6% #11/50
Closing the gap: -1.03 pts/yr vs the frontier
Projected CC by 2040: 88.2 (now 67.2, P50 · scenario not forecast)
Strengths to build on
- Cognitive Development Index (0.663, Strong), broad, balanced development with no single dimension dragging it down.
- Cognitive Coefficient (67.2, Strong), deep capability per person: broad productivity gains and a well-equipped workforce.
- Cognitive Momentum (56.1, Strong), investment and pipeline favour sustained improvement, today's position is likely to compound.
Risk factors
- Relative trajectory, Maintaining: Risk: the frontier keeps moving, so standing still means slow relative decline. A stable base, but it needs fresh momentum to avoid drifting back.
- Depth without scale, high per-capita intensity (CC #9) but limited absolute weight (CPI #25): excellent per person, but too small to shape the global frontier alone.
Recommended priorities
- Prioritise the weakest pillar (Compute) to lift the geometric-mean development index (CDI).
- Broaden the base (education + data governance) to raise resilience and reduce concentration risk.
▲
These are model outputs and scenarios, not forecasts of actual outcomes. This platform measures access to, utilization of, and leverage from cognitive infrastructure, not intelligence. No causality or certainty is claimed.
Pillars
AI Access70.8
AI Adoption46.9
Compute40.6
Data96.5
Education71.1
Digital Literacy88.3
Innovation67.5
Knowledge Infrastructure46.6
Agentic Deployment76.4
Nearest peers
- Netherlands67.5
- Switzerland68.2
- Denmark66.0
- Israel65.9
- Taiwan65.6
Provenance & what changed · 39 indicator cells · year, source, measured vs estimated
Rank movement
- no rank movement since the previous snapshot
Applied research changes
- no applied research changes name this economy in the window
| Indicator | Value | Year | Source | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| agent_access_pct | 68.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| agent_autonomy_idx | 73.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| agent_capability_idx | 76.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| ai_capital_b | 7.0 | 2024 | Stanford AI Index / state & infra capex (curated) | estimated |
| ai_index_score | 39 | 2024 | Tortoise Global AI Index 2024 | measured |
| ai_private_investment_b | 2.5 | 2024 | Stanford AI Index 2025 (cumulative) | estimated |
| ai_pubs_share | 1.1 | 2023 | OECD / Elsevier | estimated |
| ai_regulation_idx | 78 | 2024 | EU AI Act/curated | estimated |
| ai_skill_penetration | 75 | 2024 | LinkedIn/Stanford AI Index 2025 | estimated |
| ai_strategy_year | 2018 | 2018 | OECD AI Policy Observatory | measured |
| ai_talent_idx | 56 | 2024 | Tortoise Global AI Index 2024 | estimated |
| cloud_regions | 3 | 2024 | AWS/Azure/GCP region maps 2024 | measured |
| data_governance_idx | 88 | 2024 | OECD/GDPR/curated | estimated |
| datacenter_mw | 600 | 2024 | curated estimate | estimated |
| digital_skills_idx | 83 | 2024 | WEF / ITU-style composite | estimated |
| enterprise_agent_adoption | 56.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| fixed_broadband_per100 | 41 | 2023 | ITU 2023 | measured |
| gdp_pc_ppp | 72529.0 | 2025 | World Bank WDI (PPP) | measured |
| gdp_total_b | 669.0 | 2025 | World Bank WDI | measured |
| gii_score | 64.5 | 2024 | WIPO Global Innovation Index 2024 | measured |
| gov_agent_adoption | 64.0 | 2025 | curated (agentic-deployment estimate) | estimated |
| gov_ai_readiness | 79 | 2024 | Oxford Insights Gov AI Readiness 2024 | measured |
| human_capital_index | 0.8 | 2020 | World Bank HCI 2020 | measured |
| internet_pct | 96 | 2023 | ITU 2023 | measured |
| mean_years_schooling | 12.7 | 2022 | UNDP HDR 2023/24 | measured |
| mobile_broadband_per100 | 130 | 2023 | ITU 2023 | estimated |
| notable_models | 0 | 2024 | Stanford AI Index 2025 | estimated |
| patents_per_million | 200 | 2023 | WIPO | estimated |
| population_m | 10.6 | 2025 | World Bank WDI | measured |
| rd_gdp_pct | 3.4 | 2021 | OECD | measured |
| researchers_per_million | 7930 | 2021 | UNESCO UIS / OECD | measured |
| robot_density | 290.0 | 2024 | IFR World Robotics | estimated |
| robot_installs_k | 1.8 | 2024 | IFR World Robotics | estimated |
| robot_stock_k | 16.0 | 2024 | IFR World Robotics | estimated |
| sci_pubs_per_million | 2400 | 2022 | World Bank WDI | estimated |
| semiconductor_idx | 50 | 2024 | curated estimate (Ericsson) | estimated |
| stem_grads_share | 27 | 2020 | OECD/Eurostat | measured |
| tertiary_enrollment_pct | 80 | 2021 | UNESCO UIS | measured |
| top500_systems | 4 | 2024 | Top500 2024 | measured |